Download the Climate Impact Company U.S. Soil Moisture Forecast
After a wet early 2017 the Central U.S. soil moisture regime is transitioning to a drier scenario. Drought is emerging in the northern Plains. A widening drought scenario is underway. Summertime rains tend to be convective ad not widespread enough to reverse a drought trend. The dryness evolving over the North-Central U.S. plus the Ohio Valley is caused by an El Nino climate and warm North Atlantic. While a formal El Nino does not exist the general warmth in the global tropics is causing an El Nino-like signature. The warm oceans are likely to maintain an important dry trend across the Central U.S. well into the summer season as dryness and drought expand.
Pictured: Current U.S. soil moisture anomalies and end of July/end of September soil moisture anomaly forecast.
