Download The Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook for Europe
Download The Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook for Russia
We’re trying (but failing) to break the persistent upper air pattern across Europe and Russia dominant much of 2017. The cool pool in the north-central North Atlantic, the result of the Greenland ice sheet melt is the strongest in several years and has cooled the atmosphere above where a persistent mid-atmosphere low pressure trough is anchored. Meanwhile the strongest climate synoptic feature around the globe the past 6-8 mos. persists in western Russia, a low pressure trough born last December. In-between the two upper trough zones Europe has been affected by a persistent upper ridge pattern bringing dry-to-drought conditions to Western Europe this past winter into spring and now spreading across southern Europe centered on Italy during summer.
The upper trough has caused endless cool temperatures and precipitation in western to central portions of Russia and the updated week 2-4 forecast maintains this regime. The southern Europe drought continues except Greece where occasional heavy rainfall events occur due to a persistent upper trough in that location. East of this upper trough the Black Sea region is forecast to trend drier into August although most of the excessive heat required to accelerate drying stays in Europe.
Pictured: Climate Impact Company week 2 ahead precipitation anomaly forecast for Europe and Russia.
