Pictured: The convection phase (green) of MJO forecast in 5-day increments by NOAA over the next 15 days.
The super intense MJO episode in the tropical West Pacific during October has shifted east and weakened. However, rebirth in the tropical Indian Ocean is ahead and an eastward shift toward/into the equatorial Pacific is ahead. The eastward shift of MJO will bring more rainfall to Australia emerging in the 6-10 day period central and southwest portions intensifying with an eastward shift n the 11-15 day period (according to the operational GFS). Meanwhile the MJO influence bringing wet weather to Brazil is less intense although anomalous rainfall is forecast during the medium-range for central and eastern Brazil.
Pictured: Storm Vista depiction of the operational GFS day 6-10/11-15 percent of normal rainfall across Australia is indicated.
Pictured: Storm Vista depiction of the operational GFS day 6-10/11-15 percent of normal rainfall across South America is indicated.
