Models in Better Agreement on 10-Day South American Rainfall; Widespread Moisture Boosts Forthcoming: The GFS models has trended a bit wetter in Mato Grosso, which puts that solution in better alignment with the EU and Canadian model outlooks. Routine South American weather begins early next week, and a pattern of regular rain is probable across…
Models At Odds over Northern Brazil Rainfall Next 10 Days; All Agree Drought Shrinks into Late October: The South American forecast is broadly consistent with prior runs, though the EU, GFS and AI models remain in disagreement over rainfall in Mato Grosso and far N Brazil over the next 8-10 days. The EU is by…
Widespread Rain Recorded in Argentina; Confidence High Regular Rain Impacts Brazil Second Half of October: The South American weather forecast remains broadly favorable. The major forecasting models remain at odds over the timing of regular soaking rainfall in Mato Grosso & Goias – the EU model allows heavy rain to begin Oct 12th; the GFS…
Rain Finally Returns to Black Sea; W Europe Gets Soaked by Tropical Storm Kirk: The Black Sea forecast is improved, with additional welcomed rain forecast across the western half of Ukraine, and as after months of near complete dryness regular rain chances are offered to E Ukraine and S Russia over the next 10 days.…
US Climate Guidance Favors Warmth/Dryness into Early November: The Central US forecast is consistent, with all major forecasting models extending the current pattern into Oct 20th. A few lite/scattered showers are possible this weekend in WI/MI, but otherwise it remains that disruptions to harvest will be nonexistent. Freezing overnight lows stay absent across the N…
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