Models Agree On Midwest Dryness Next Two Weeks; Temp Outlook Diverges: Another day has passed without hints of a precip pattern change, with Midwest dryness extended into June 15-16. Additional rain will fall across the spine of the Central US into mid-June, which boosts soil moisture but threatens HRW harvest progress and quality in TX,…
Need for Rain Increasing in eastern NE, Midwest; Market Focus Stays on 16-30 Day Period: Operational models have extended Midwest heat and dryness into June 12-13, and in fact the midday GFS allows a fairly strong Ridge of high pressure to blanket the Delta and Midwest in the 12-15 day period – which if realized…
Still No North American Pattern Change Indicated into June 8th: The EU and GFS models are in general agreement on Central US rainfall over the next two weeks but differ on temperatures beyond then next 9-10 days. The GFS allows cooler readings to return to the E Plains and Midwest. The EU and Canadian models…
Western Plains Forecast Wet; Midwest Stays Dry into June 7; Heat Probable in 6-15 Day Period: The EU and GFS models are in better agreement, with the GFS having eliminated Midwest rain chances in the 11-15 day period. The outlook remains concerning in that the return of rain and mild temps across the primary Corn…
GFS Operational Trend is Wetter in Eastern Corn Belt in 12-14 Day Period; Better Performing EU Model Keeps Midwest Dryness in Place Though June 8th: The GFS operational model has added scattered/moderate rainfall to IA, IL and IN June 6-7, but confidence this far out is low. ARC notes that all other models, including the…
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