Brazilian Forecast Wetter in Southern States; Argentina Stays Warm/Dry: The EU & GFS models remain in solid agreement on the forecast into the middle of March. Rainfall in Brazil expands southward into Parana & Sao Paulo next week, while pesky tropical showers sustain harvest delays in Mato Grosso & Goias. Precip in Argentina stays isolated…
Dryness Perists in Argentina/S Brazil; Pattern Change Unlikely into Mid-March: The EU/GFS models agree that a weather pattern of dryness and rising temps will continue across all of Argentina and the southern third of Brazil into March 10th. NOAA’s near-term bias-corrected precip anomaly forecast is attached. The CFSv2 climate model extends this pattern of Argentine…
South American Pattern Remains Stagnant; Argentine Forecast Warmer Next 10 Days: Operational model guidance peeks into March 5th and there is still no indication of any meaningful pattern change. Little/no rainfall is offered to Argentina through the period, while near-daily showers linger across Central and Northern Brazil. Longer term outlooks maintain a southward shift in…
Near Term S American Forecast Offers Stagnant Pattern; No Indication of Shift to Rain for Argentina in Early March: The EU & GFS models are in agreement on unwanted rainfall across Mato Grosso/Goais into March and ongoign dryness in Argentina and far Southern Brazil. Lite showers of .10-.20” will impact Central Argentina in the next…
South American Climate Stuck into March; Drynes Worry on Argentina/S Brazil: The EU & GFS models are consistent with each other and prior runs. La Nina-based dryness will persist across Argentina as well as the southern third of Brazil. Normal/above normal rain will continue across Central & Northern Brazil. The attached graphic displays the GFS…
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