Soil Moisture Improvement Offered to Southern Brazil; Net Drying Continues Elsewhere: The attached graphic displays Nov 1-Dec 5 % of normal rainfall in South America. The GFS model’s forecast is assumed. The nearby outlook maintains heavy – and needed – showers across N Argentina and far S Brazil, which if realized will begin to ease…
South American Pattern Stagnation Possible into Late December: The South American forecast is consistent with previous output and the EU, GFS and Canadian models are in good agreement into early December. Meaningful precip over the next two weeks will be limited to Northern Argentina, Paraguay and far Southern Brazil. Heat and dryness persist elsewhere. Further…
Brazilian Forecast Trends Drier; Heat Develops Next 10 Days: The GFS has reduced its projected rainfall accumulation in Central Brazil into early December. Recall the GFS has been the better performer in South America over the last 30 days, and so this ongoing trend of precip reduction is worrisome. Meaningful South American precip in the…
Rain Falls Across Mato Grosso Overnight; Arid Pattern Resumes in Next Two Weeks: Better rainfall impacted 30% of Southern Mato Grosso overnight. Totals were recorded in a range of 1-3.00 while 70% of the area received .2-1.00”. The overall South American climate into early December will remain drier than normal, with considerable declines in soil…
South American Forecast Wetter in S Brazil; Abnormal Dryness Persists Across Argentina & North Central Brazil: The forecast into December is consistent with prior forecasts. A wetter pattern will at least briefly unfold across the southern third of Brazil Nov 26-30th. Precip is desperately needed there. Otherwise, a pattern of well below normal rainfall will…
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