Southern Brazil/Argentina Dryness Worry During La Nina: The EU/GFS models offer a brief expansion of rain for the drier areas of far S Brazil and C Argentina this weekend. Thereafter, meaningful rain will be lacking into late November. The expansion of dry soils will deepen across Argentina/S Brazil. The graphic shows that moisture deficits will…
US Ag Markets Tighten; Need for Large South American Crops Increasing: USDA in its November WASDE lowered combined US corn/soybean stocks by a massive 565 Mil Bu (23%). The USDA’s cut to US corn stocks (in bushels) is the largest on record for a November report and was the biggest surprise relative to market expectations…
GFS Trends Drier in Argentina; Pattern Unlikely to Change in Next 30 Days: The recent forecasts have reduced forecasted rainfall for Argentina over the next 5 days. There is better agreement between the forecast models. A more seasonal pattern of shower activity develops this week in Central Brazil but concern over lasting dryness in Argentina…
Long Term Moisture Deficits to Continue in Mato Grosso Brazil, Argentina: The EU/GFS models are consistent with previous output. A pattern of near normal showers develops in Central Brazil next week. A blocking pattern of dryness and rising temps will persist across North/Northeast Argentina, Mato Grosso and far Southern Brazil. Erratic South American precip remains…
South American Forecast Maintains Regional Moisture for NE Brazil; Long Term Argentine/S Brazilian Forecast Concerning: The EU/GFS models are consistent with each other and prior forecasts. Improved shower activity begins across East Central Brazil next week. Meaningful precip for Argentina will be confined to far southern and western crop areas. Most of the Argentine and…
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