Download The Climate Impact Company South America Climate Outlook
DEC/JAN/FEB 2017-18: Meteorological summer is forecast drier than normal over far northeast Brazil, Uruguay, southeast and east Brazil. In northeast Argentina soils are wetter than normal and dryness ahead is likely to reverse the soil moisture trend much drier especially the second half of summer. The (current) dry soil moisture regime over central Brazil weakens while eastern Brazilian dryness is likely to strengthen. Borderline anomalous heat affects most of the dry climate forecast areas.
Rainfall could be excessive across northwest portions of South America. The front end of the wet regime extends to central Brazil.
The forecast trend is less hot for summer 2017-18 while despite a drier outlook northeast Argentina is borderline cooler than normal for upcoming meteorological summertime. The rainfall forecast trends drier in eastern Brazil while northern Argentina is less dry.
MAR/APR/MAY 2018: The autumn outlook indicates risk of lingering summertime heat and dryness northeast Argentina to southeast Brazil. Central and northern Brazil are wetter than normal.
JUN/JUL/AUG 2018: A warmer than normal winter is forecast across much of Brazil and northern Argentina.