Download The Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook for Europe
Download The Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook for Russia
Pictured: The Climate Impact Company week 2-4 precipitation anomaly forecast.
A persistent high pressure zone across central and southern Europe powers on through mid-summer causing the historical bad drought across southern Europe centered on Italy to continue. The persistent ridge pattern is located in-between stubborn upper troughs over a cool pool of ocean water in the north-central North Atlantic and a semi-permanent upper trough over northwest-to-north-central Russia. These upper air features are unlikely to change through mid-summer therefore the central/south Europe drought condition is likely to worsen.
While southern Europe stays dry there is potential for the opposite regime to occur across much of northern Europe and western Russia. In this location susceptibility to an occasional upper trough bringing showers and cooler temperatures are likely in northern Europe while western to central Russia remain showery and cool beneath the persistent trough present since late last year.
Therefore drought expansion is not likely. Instead southern Europe drought likely strengthens while marginal dry conditions persist in Ukraine/southwest Russia and the Black Sea region.
