Egyptian Wheat Supply & Demand

AgResource’s research suggest Egyptian tenders may be few and far between from now till late summer. The general seasonality in Egyptian tenders is graphic below, and it does appear that this year’s import needs were somewhat front loaded, and anyway the tonnage of wheat sought by Egypt tends to erode in the final quarter of…

Afternoon Weather Update

Argentine Rainfall Pulled into Nearby Forecast: Confidence is rising with respect to a pattern change in Argentina. The GFS model’s 7-day precip forecast is attached, and this appears to be the best chance of meaningful rainfall since late 2017.   Argentina’s primary ag belt is highlighted, and though a material change in yield potential is…

Wheat Ends Weak on Hints of Plains Rainfall

Wheat futures fell slightly, ending well off session highs amid a wetter GFS forecast at midday, and the seeming end of La Nina. Widespread rain is still not indicated across the HRW Belt, but slowly the models are beginning to expand Central US precip westward in late March. NOAA’s spring/summer climate forecast will be updated…