Download the Climate Impact Company Medium-range Forecast for the U.S.
Pictured: The “best” model from overnight forecasting U.S. percent of normal rainfall for days 6-10 and 11-15 is the European ensemble (ECM ENS).
The U.S. medium-range forecasts stubbornly hold onto a cooler than normal regime in the Central U.S. next week. During that time the southern extent of the cooler air mass runs into subtropical moisture to produce a wet pattern across Texas. Later in the 6-10 day period the cool anomaly fades. In the 11-15 day period a broad showery regime spreads across the East, Mid-South and into the Gulf States. Temperatures moderate to near normal for the 5-day period although briefly warm and humid conditions are likely. In the 16-20 day period persistence wins out as a cool regime regenerates in the central Plains.
Pictured: The Climate Impact Company medium/extended-range temperature anomaly forecast.
