Download The Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook for the U.S.
Pictured: The Climate Impact Company week 2-4 precipitation anomaly forecast.
During the upcoming weekend and especially next week the Gulf of Mexico will become more tropically active. There is risk of a tropical storm. Rainfall from this tropical regime is entrained into the U.S. upper air pattern and that rain affects the Interior East U.S. Given the subtropical nature of this rainfall the attendant thermal regime is likely still warm which is in opposition to some operational models which are quite cool in the medium-range for the Great Plains.
Later in June the western Gulf is still tropically active and some of that rain is entrained northward this time into the Great Plains. The rainfall is subtropical in nature featuring hit-and-miss thunderstorms. Later this month is still warm in the Great Plains. The strongest heat shifts to the Southwest States including California.
In early July wet weather is projected across the Corn Belt although forecast confidence is below average.