Afternoon Weather Update

South American Forecast Trending Warmer in Argentina: There are hints that a briefly wetter pattern may evolve in Argentina beyond the next 9-10 days, but until this is pulled forward our confidence in such a shift will remain low. In the meantime the pattern looks to be rather stagnant, with favorable rainfall ongoing in Central…

Analysis of Stats Can’s December Report

Stats Canada’s final production report is viewed as bearish. It’s been rather common for Stats Can to underestimate production in its early season reports, but new data this morning exceeded expectations.    Wheat production is pegged at 30 MMTs, vs. 27 MMTs previously, and which suggests drought during most of the season had little effect…