CONAB January Crop Estimates

Brazil’s national crop forecasting agency CONAB released their January crop report on Thursday, which lowered the agency’s estimate of the soybean crop to 118.8 MMTs, down from the Dec estimate of 120 MMTs. Most of the decline was due to a lower crop yield, but CONAB also made a rare cut to the total cropped…

Evening Weather Update

EU Model Stays Parched for Brazil; Long Range Pattern Unchanged: The afternoon run of the EU model is a tad wetter in parts of Goias and Minas Gerais Jan 19-20, but keeps key areas of Mato Grosso do Sul and Mato Grosso completely dry. Our confidence in this rain is low. Any rain is welcome,…

Funds Shed Length on Lack of Demand News

CBOT corn futures ended sharply lower. We’ve mentioned this week that speculative funds since mid-December have established a sizable long position. This position should be maintained amid adverse dryness in Brazil, but periodic liquidation can be expected when fresh news is lacking. US/China trade progress is occurring, but traders are still waiting for fresh Chinese…