Chart of the day: 15-day tropical outlook. Discussion: Expect an uptick in tropical cyclones which could strike the U.S. in early October. For now, GFS keeps several potential threats away from the coast. But model runs have been inconsistent, some showing East Coast and Gulf of Mexico threats. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid: October 3-9, 2021:…
Executive Summary: The Climate Impact Company season 1-3 ahead forecast for East Asia with a focus on China and Japan is updated. The outlook indicates a warmer-than-normal winter for central and eastern China while north/northeast China to Japan is normally cold. Southeast Asia is unusually dry during winter. The front end of the cool season…
Summer-Like Temps to Persist; Rain Possible in Western Plains Oct 1-3rd: The GFS/Canadian models are in better alignment with the EU solution with respect to needed precip impacting the Southern Plains late in the 6-10 day period. The three models disagree on the exact placement of Plains rainfall late next week, but odds are high…
Needed Rain to Impact Northern Brazilian Crop Areas; Below Normal Precip Continues Elsewhere: The EU and GFS models agree that seasonal rains begin to move into Northern Brazilian crop areas – including much of Mato Grosso – over the next 10 days. Only lite totals are forecast across the remainder of Central Brazil and the…
AgResource Farm Marketing Advice for Friday: 1/ No new advice. Russian wheat yields continue their decline; Despite scattered reports of improved wheat yields in Siberia, the harvest/yield chart thru September 20th offers statistical proof that the 2021 Russian wheat crop will be 72 MMTs or less. Winter wheat yields were the big drag early in…
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