Afternoon Weather Update

EU & GFS Models Lack Agreement Near Term; Climate Forecast Still Cool/Wet: The EU (top) and GFS models’ 7-day precip forecast is at left, and the two lack agreement on details through the next week. The EU is favorably drier, the GFS includes widespread soaking rain this weekend, and AgResource leans toward something in between.…

Soy Futures Break Down In Technical Trade

Following last week’s break to the downside, soy futures shrugged off old crop export demand and extended losses through Monday’s trading. Ahead of the morning open, the USDA announced an export sale of 130,000 MTs of old crop soybeans to an unknown destination, the 3rd consecutive week with sales announcements. Commodity fund traders sold  9,500…

Brazil Soybean Export Committments at 66% of USDA’s Projection; But Still Lagging Pace Needed to Meet that Projection

On May 10, USDA pegged Brazil’s soybean crop at a record 111.6 MMT, up 600,000 MT from their previous projection.  In addition, USDA projected local marketing year (Feb-Jan) soybean exports at a record 63.6 MMT, unchanged from their previous projection.  For the week May 22-May 29, Brazil exported 2.16 MMT of soybeans.  That’s down from last…