Highlight: Autumn is wet on the East Coast and warm North and West U.S. Executive Summary: The Climate Impact Company month 1-3 ahead forecast valid for meteorological autumn 2021 is updated. The forecast is based on both dynamic models, a consensus between the ECM and CFS and analogs (2016, 2013, 2001 and 1998). The analogs…
AgResource Farm Marketing Advice for Thursday: 1/ No new advice. CBT futures are stronger today, led by row crop markets, as macro trends have reversed and new crop US corn and soy export demand begins to appear. Spot WTI crude at midday is up $.85 at $69 per barrel. Gasoline futures have followed. The DOW…
Highlights: High impact climate across the northern hemisphere according to just-released ECMWF “Monthlies” the next 6 months. Fig. 1: ECMWF upper air forecast for September 2021. September 2021 highlights: The Southeast U.S. and Mid-Atlantic States will encounter a land-falling hurricane in September (Fig. 1). Steering currents to cause this risk are clearly indicated by presence…
Charts of the day: Day-15 most likely North America temperature anomalies. Discussion: What is the most likely North America temperature anomaly forecast in 15 days (August 19)? The mega-cluster ensemble indicates the most likely hot weather core is located over the North-central/Upper Midwest U.S. The second-most likely option is the heat core slightly farther west…
U.S. Corn Belt Gains Rainfall! Discussion: Both the (wetter) GFS and more tempered ECM (Fig. 1) have increased their rainfall forecast for the Midwest U.S. including the Western U.S. Corn Belt where rainfall is needed. The ECM indicates 1-3 in. of rain with greatest amount in northeast Iowa/southwest Wisconsin. The rainfall increase is due to…
