USDA Seems to Be Expecting China to Cancel/Roll-Over 175-215 MMT of US Corn Sales. Analysis of Trade Data Suggests That’s Not Likely.
Summary: As of Apr 22, undelivered US export sales to China are estimated to be 13.5 MMT. However, USDA seems to expect that the US will export just 8.4 MMT to China over the next 5 months. This implies that USDA may be expecting China to cancel or roll-over 4.5-5.5 MMT (175-215 MBU) of US…