Models Lack Agreement on Brazilian Rainfall Intensity; Confidence High Better Brazilian Rain Chances Ahead: The South American forecast is consistent with prior runs, with needed rain to impact the driest areas of Central and Northern Brazil beginning Wednesday. The GFS remains much drier than its EU & Canadian counterparts, but 10-day totals of 1-2” are…
Models Lack Agreement on Even 3-Day Forecast in Brazil; Radar Maps Critical Wed-Fri: The Argentine forecast remains favorable, with normal/above normal rainfall probable into late month. ARC does note that the intensity of storms in Argentina have caused infrastructure/crop damage in parts of La Pampa & Buenos Aires, but details are lacking. However, the EU…
Confidence in Late December Brazilian Rain Increasing; Totals Unlikely to Substantially Boost Subsoil Moisture: The forecasting models remain consistent in projecting needed rainfall across northern Brazil beginning Dec 20-21. The GFS ensemble model’s 7-day forecast is attached, and importantly this pattern change has been pulled into the nearby timeframe. However, Mato Grosso’s Sep-Dec rainfall deficit…
South American Forecast Maintains Improved Brazilian Rainfall in 8-12 Day Period: The South American forecast is consistent in calling for much improved Brazilian rainfall beginning Dec 21-22. Confidence surrounding this pattern shift is slowly increasing, though ARC notes verification data since Dec 1 confirms model guidance has been far too wet. The outlook is mixed,…
Models Dry in Brazil Next 10 Days; Low Confidence Wetter Forecasts Advertised during Late December: The South American forecast has delayed the arrival of soaking rain in Northern Brazil, with any pattern shift not scheduled to begin until Dec 22nd. The EU model in the particular in the last 24 hours has trended drier. Light/scattered…
Contact
submission
You have successfully added an item to your cart! You may view the contents of your cart and proceed with checkout, or continue shopping.
Multiuser
subscription
How many users would you like to add?
