The Central US forecast is consistent with prior runs. The primary concern is that the broad Trough/Ridge pattern shows no sign of ending into the first full week of June. This will sustain excessive rainfall across the Plains and Midwest and a hot/dry trend across the Southeast. It also implies a further decline in soil…
The Central US pattern is unchanged from prior runs. The GFS at midday eliminated activity in the Gulf and so is in better line with the EU model. A broad Trough/Ridge pattern holds into opening days of June. The will keep excessive rainfall centered on the Central Plains & Midwest through the period. The attached…
There’s no change in the broad upper air pattern through the first week of June. The attached graphic shows the EU model’s change in projected rain from the overnight to midday solution. The outlook is wetter, not drier. Of note is that the EU model allows high pressure Ridging aloft the Southeastern US to relax…
Rainfall recorded in the last 24 hours is attached. Severe weather, including hail, high winds and damaging rainfall occurred across Central Plains and MO. Flood alerts are widespread. Similar conditions will spread east in the next 2 days. A broad Trough/Ridge pattern will sustain almost daily showers across the Plains, Midwest and N Delta into…
US weather will be dominated by a broad Trough/Ridge upper air flow into June. Monday’s temperatures highlight this pattern. Record breaking heat will occur across pockets of the Southeast US under a high-pressure Ridge. Cool and wet weather will persist across the Plains and Midwest. Today’s midday temps were recorded in the 40s and 50s…
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