Models Maintain Better Brazilian Rain Chances Beyond Nov 20th; Actual Performance Critical: The South American forecast is rather mixed. Searing heat and complete dryness Blanket Central and Northern Brazil into Nov 20-22, with high temps projected at 103-109 degrees across the northern 2/3rds of Brazil’s ag belt. Heavy round batters the south of Brazil. Crop…
Long Range Guidance Extends Worrisome Brazilian Pattern into December, Brazilian Temps Soar in 6-10 Day Period: There are hints of improved rain chances in Mato Grosso and far N Brazil beyond Nov 21st, but confidence in extended range details is low. ARC also notes that hints of a pattern shift in C and N Brazil…
No Change in South American Weather into Nov 21st; Brazilian Pattern Worrisome; Argentina Outlook OK for Now: The South American climate is stuck into the latter part of November as dominant high pressure Ridging returns to the Central & Northern Brazil. This upper air pattern funnels heavy rainfall into RGDS/Santa Caterina in S Brazil, where…
Heat/Dryness Returns to Northern Brazil; Excessive Rain Returns to South: Regional drought improvement will continue in Argentina, but concern over Brazil’s climate pattern is rising. Following scattered showers in Mato Grosso, Goias and Bahia over the weekend, a lengthy period of dryness and abnormally temps resumes in Central and Northern Brazil. Brazilian rainfall instead will…
South American Pattern Stuck; Climate Guidance Concerning: The forecasting models are consistent and agree on the South American pattern into mid-November. Scattered showers blanket the driest areas of Mato Grosso/Goias into Wednesday. Soybean seeding should resume regionally. However, high pressure Ridging aloft C Brazil returns thereafter, and the static pattern of heat/dryness in N Brazil…
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