** Rain Impacts Argentina Overnight; Additional Precip Forecast Feb 5-6: The attached graphic shows 24-hour rainfall accumulation in Argentina and Southern Brazil. Argentina’s primary crop belt is highlighted. Better than expected totals worth .70-.90” were recorded in La Pampa, Buenos Aires and western Cordoba. Additional rain is needed into mid-Feb, but there’s general model agreement…
** Models In Better Agreement For South American Rainfall; Crop Stress Not Anticipated: The EU and GFS models have coalesced over the past 24 hours with both models now forecasting general rains over much of the main growing regions into the second week of February. All of the major grain production regions of Brazil with…
** Better Performing EU Model Adds Rain to Northern Argentina: The EU and GFS models begin the week in decent agreement, though the EU this evening is wetter in in Central and Northern Argentina through the next 10 days. Key in the next 2-3 days is whether the GFS comes into the alignment with the…
** Updated Climate Forecast Maintains Below Normal Rainfall in Argentina: The attached graphic shows the EU model’s updated weekly precip guidance in South America. A broad pattern of above normal in rainfall in Brazil and below normal rainfall in Argentina is projected to continue throughout the next four weeks. Major corn yield loss in Argentina…
** Dry Pattern Continues in Argentina; Heavy Rainfall in NE Brazil Moderates Beyond Jan 30th: The EU & GFS models project soaking rainfall in NE Brazil to east beyond the next 7 days. If realized, this will allow for a more normal pace of soy harvest/safrinha corn seeding in early February and is viewed as…
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