Better Rain Needed Across S Brazil; Otherwise Yield Potential Elevated: The South American forecast is drier in Argentina beyond Jan 1 – which will be welcomed. Rain will soon be needed across the southern third of Brazil, but the EU and GFS models do project strong high pressure aloft S Brazil to ease beyond the…
Models Stay Wet in Argentina; Heat Lacking from All of South America: The South American forecast into the first full week of January remains broadly favorable. Model output continues to trend wetter in Argentina through the period. Boosts in soil moisture lie ahead for the driest regions of Brazil’s northern Soy Belt. Below normal rain…
Weekend Rain Meets Expectations; South American Pattern Favorable into Early January: The graphic attached shows precip accumulation in Argentine and southern Brazil since last Thursday. Totals across the drier areas of Argentina’s ag belt reached 2-4”, which brings Dec 1-23 precip in Argentina to 70-180% of normal. Moving forward normal rainfall and temps are forecast…
Overnight Argentine Rainfall Exceeds Expectations; Wet Pattern Lies Ahead: Soaking rain fell across Cordoba and NW Buenos Aires in the past 24 hours – the driest area of Argentina with totals of .5-3.00”. This was well above forecasts which will substantially aid the crop. Rains will continue into the weekend while the 10-day forecast has…
Argentine Rain Begins Friday; Two-Week South American Forecast Favorable: The GFS model remains drier than its EU and Canadian counterparts in Argentina this week. However, ARC’s bias is weighted heavily towards the better-performing EU model, which includes heavy rain on the weekend and a pattern of near-daily showers in Central Argentina Dec 26-29. The EU…
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