Corn and soybean markets will continue to battle record/near record slow planting progress moving forward. The broad theme of the North American climate is that a more zonally flowing jet stream will be established into late next week. Thereafter a NW upper air pattern will be established. This suggests additional rain will plague the Eastern…
The better performing EU model maintains warmer/drier weather across the N Plains, the W and N Midwest into mid-June. The area facing prolonged planting delays will be shrinking and becoming regional. Only the Southern Plains and Southern Midwest will see additional soaking precip late week.  The attached graphic shows weekend rainfall accumulation since May 31st.…
The midday GFS went abruptly wetter in the 8-15 day period. Confidence in this outlook is low, but the GFS advertises yet more widespread soaking rainfall June 7-14. Fieldwork will again be stalled, and markets reacted by raising the incentive to seed crops at extremely late dates. However, the afternoon EU model held onto its…
The Central US forecast is consistent in featuring a drier pattern beyond the weekend. The consistency of recent model runs boosts ARC’s confidence in the coming pattern shift. The attached graphic shows NOAA’s two-week predicted change in soil moisture. Drying begins in all but KS, OK, MO and IL. One additional frontal system will move…
The Central US forecast is mixed and implies seeding progress won’t resume in earnest until beyond June 2nd. NOAA’s QPF 5 Day Forecast offers a Trough/Ridge upper air flow to persist into late week. The jet stream becomes elongated in early June. Complete dryness is not indicated in the 6-15 day period, but shower activity…
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