Average Trade Expectation is for No Change in US Corn Stocks/Use, But Estimates Do Vary Widely
Summary: There were 35 that estimated an “implied” ratio of corn ending stocks/total use. December corn futures (the day of a WASDE report) is strongly correlated to the WASDE’s projection of ending stocks/use. The average trade estimate for the October WASDE’s stocks/use ratio is 9.5%, unchanged from the previous month. A simple price model forecasts…