Brazil Soy Export Commitments Up 7.5% YoY and Almost 50% of USDA’s Projection. Safras Raises Exports 0.5 MMT to Record 70.5 MMT Vs. USDA’s 69.25 MMT

Summary:   Brazil shipped 2.62 MMT of soybeans last week. That’s down from the previous week’s 2.96 MMT but above last year’s 2.31 MMT.   Brazil’s export “commitments” rose to 33.62 MMT, 2.36 MMT above last year.  This is a record for this date. Safras boosted their projection for Brazil’s exports in their Jan-Dec local marketing year 0.5 MMT…

Soybean Inspections Expected To Be Up. A Growing Ship Lineup May Signal Larger Exports in Coming Weeks.

Summary:  Next week ’s export inspections is expected to be 540,000 MT (19.8 Mil Bu).   If this is correct, that would be up from last week’s 445,000 MT.  This week’s ship lineup is 619,000 MMT.  That is 24% above last week’s lineup.  This week’s lineup is nearly double last year’s 421,000 MMT.  There were 23 vessels to-be-nominated (TBN).  That is 10 less than last week, but…

Russia’s Grain Exports Could Exceed 50 MMT IF Better-Than-Expected Pace of Shipments Continues For The Next 2.5 Months.

Summary:  Russian grain exports (wheat, barley and corn) are running at a record pace and are poised to exceed the USDA’s projection of 48.02 MMT.  In eight-out-of-the-last-nine months, grain exports set new monthly records.  Shipments to-date for April suggest that this month’s exports will be about 4.8 MMT (nearly double the previous record for April…

China “Spot” Crush Margin Turn Negative But “Forward” Margin Still Positive. China April Imports Expected To Be 9-10 MMT; May Imports 8.5-9.5 MMT

Summary: China’s “spot” soybean crushing margin was down from a week ago.  Today’s spot margin is  -29 Yuan/MT.  However, the “forward” margin is  +12 Yuan/MT.   Also, the forward margin is 71 Yuan above what it was a year ago.   China’s April imports are projected to be 9-10 MMT.  Ship lineups so far this month suggest that May imports will be…