China’s Soybean Spot” and “Forward” Crushing Margins Both Below Break-even. But Record Imports Expected in May and June

Summary:  As of June 02, China’s “spot” soybean crushing margin was -1 Yuan/MT, down 45 Yuan from the prior week.  The “forward” margin was -167 yuan/MT, down 42 Yuan. Also, the forward margin was 169 Yuan below what it was a year ago.  Domestic soyoil’s price was up 3.3% from a week ago.  Three months ago,…

One China-Bound Vessel Appears in this Week’s Soybean Lineup. Next Week’s Inspections Projected to Be 17 Mil Bu.

Summary:  Next week ’s soybean export inspections are expected to be 485,000 MT (17.8 Mil Bu).  That would be up 46% from this past week.  This week’s ship lineup is 223,000 MT.  That is down 25% from last week.  Three months ago saw the lowest lineup in nearly 4 years.  There were 28 vessels to-be-nominated (TBN).  That is up from last…

USDA Could Lower Its Projection for EU Wheat to 140 MMT, Down Nearly 15 MMT From Last Year

Today, the EU Commission slashed their projection for EU-27 common wheat estimate to 121.5 MMT. That’s down 4.3 MMT from last month’s estimate and 9.4 MMT less than last year. The USDA is using the EU-28 to project “all” wheat production. If the USDA adopts the Commissions’ projection for EU-27 “common” wheat,  then we estimate…