Brazil’s Soybean Exports Falling Further Behind Pace Needed To Make USDA’s Projection of 69 MMT.

Summary:   Brazil shipped 941,000 MT of soybeans last week. That’s down from the previous week’s 1.23 MMT and 285,000 MT smaller than a year ago.  For comparison, US export inspections last week were 1.03 MMT.  Argentina’s exports were 407,000 MT last week.  In the July WASDE, the USDA left their projection for Brazil’s exports unchanged at 69.0…

Next Week’s Soybean Inspections Could Be 780,000 MT. Is China Cancelling Sales or Making New Purchases?

Summary:  Next week ’s soybean export inspections are expected to be 780,000 MMT (28.7 Mil Bu).   If this is correct, that would be up 39% from the previous week.  This week’s ship lineup is 1.772 MMT.  That is up 11% from last week, and nearly three times larger than a year ago.  There were 34 vessels to-be-nominated (TBN).  That is unchanged from…

Russian Wheat Yields Could Be Lower Than USDA’s Projection. Models “Suggest” Final Crop That Could Be 68-72 MMT.

Summary:   In the Jul WASDE, USDA lowered their projection for this year’s Russian wheat yield to 2.82 MT/HA (41.97 Bu/Ac).  That’s down 4.1% from the previous projection but up 3.7% more than last year’s yield of 2.72 MT/HA (40.46 Bu/Ac). The most recent Russian harvest report shows this year’s yields are a bit lower lower than they were a…

US Ethanol Production Down But Stocks Build for 4th Week In A Row. Producer Margins Back Above Breakeven.

Summary: US ethanol production slipped 2.6%.  Ethanol stocks grew 1.4%, rising for the fourth week in a row.  Blender demand is estimated to have risen  3%.  Ethanol producers’ margins on Jul 22 were 2.6 cents/gln, down from the previous week’s 10.80 cents.  Blender margins were 3.63 cents, down from the previous week’s 3.72 cents/gln.  The…