China’s Crush Margins Lower This Week. USDA Projects China’s 2018/19 Imports Will Rise 6 MMT, But China Projects Imports to Fall Slightly.

Summary: China’s “spot” soybean crushing margin today was  -70 Yuan/MT, down from the previous week’s -37.  The “forward” margin was  -133 Yuan/MT vs last week’s -86.   The forward margin was 22 Yuan below what it was the previous year.  In its first “official” projections for 2018/19, USDA pegged China’s imports next year at 103 MMT.  The projection for 2017/18 was left unchanged at…

US Soybean Ship Lineup Largest in 8 Weeks. Weekly Inspections Expected To Be Nearly 25 Mil Bu.

Summary:  Next week ’s export inspections is expected to be 665,000 MT (24.4 Mil Bu).   If this is correct, that would be up from the previous week’s 534,000 MT.  This week’s ship lineup is 785,000 MMT.  That is up 30% from last week and the largest in 8 weeks.    This week’s lineup is 56% larger than last year.  There were 21 vessels to-be-nominated (TBN). …

China’s Crush Margins Higher This Week But Still Below Breakeven. Cumulative Shipments From Exporters Higher Than China’s Official Imports To Date.

Summary: China’s “spot” soybean crushing margin today was  -37 Yuan/MT, up from the previous week’s -113.  The “forward” margin was  -86 Yuan/MT vs last week’s -89.   The forward margin was 28 Yuan above what it was the previous year.   China’s April imports were 6.9 MMT.  That is well below what was indicated by shipments from the principal exporters.  For the first…