China’s “Spot” Soybean Crush Margins Up Slightly From Last Week But Soymeal & Soyoil Prices Down.

Summary: China’s “spot” soybean crushing margin on Monday was 310 Yuan/MT, up slightly from a week ago but down from the 4-year high of 436 set 3 weeks ago.  The “forward” margin was 25 Yuan/MT vs last week’s  -5 Yuan/MT.  The forward margin was 112 Yuan above what it was a year ago.  Three months ago, the forward margin fell to its lowest  level in 4 years.    In the…

Brazil Corn Ship Lineup Continues to Rise in Contra-Seasonal Pattern; But Still Too Low To Meet USDA’s Projections.

Summary:   For the period Oct 20-Oct 26, the ship lineup shows that Brazil exported 522,000 MT corn.  That is 382,000 MT less than the previous week and 348,000 MT LESS than what was shipped a year ago.  For comparison, US export inspections were 653,000 MT.   Argentina exported 172,000 MT of corn over the last 2 weeks.   Brazil’s ship…

Surge in Brazil’s Soybean Export Ship Lineup Signals USDA’s Projection Could Be 2-3 MMT Too Low.

Summary:   Brazil shipped 596,000 MT of soybeans last week. That’s down from the previous week’s 1,106,000 MT and it is well below a year ago. Brazil’s export “commitments” rose to 79.2 MMT.  This is a record for this date.   In the Oct WASDE, the USDA left their projection for Brazil’s exports unchanged at 74.775 MMT (on a Feb-Jan marketing year). CONAB,…