After Week-Long Holiday, China Crush Margins Back Below Break-even

Bottom Line: Today, China’s “spot” soybean crushing margin was down from two weeks ago (before the week-long Spring Holiday) and below break-even.  The spot margin is  -38 Yuan/MT.  The “forward” margin is down too at  -66 Yuan/MT.   In addition, the forward margin is 41 Yuan ($0.18/Bu) below what it was a year ago.   Ship lineup data from the principal soybean exporting…

Brazil’s Old-Crop Corn Exports Could Be 1.75-2.0 MMT Less Than USDA’s Projection of 34 MMT.

Bottom Line: Last week, Brazil exported 100,000 MT of corn. For comparison, Argentina exported 513,000 MT and the US exported 1,306,000 MT.  Last year, for this week, Brazil’s corn exports were 83,000 MT.  Brazil’s corn export “commitments” were estimated to be 31.9 MMT as of Feb 23.  That’s up 146.8% from a year ago. Ship lineups indicate that…

China’s Feed Imports Up 16% YoY. There’s A $72/MT Import Margin To Be Earned From Importing “Cheap” Foreign Feeds

Bottom Line:  China’s Oct-Jan (2017/18) cumulative feed imports to date are 7.37 MMT vs last year’s 6.37 MMT.  That’s up 16% from last year and signals a reversal in what had been a declining trend in China’s feed imports.  Based on USDA’s February WASDE, China’s total annual feed imports this year are projected to be 25.63 MMT, up 6% from last…