US Soybean Ship Lineup Drops Sharply But Inspections Expected to Be Little Changed From Previous Week.

Summary:  Next week ’s soybean export inspections are expected to be 1.11 MMT (40.8 Mil Bu).   If this is correct, that would be down 4% from the previous week.  This week’s ship lineup is 1.63 MMT.  It is down 33% from last week.  There were 30 vessels to-be-nominated (TBN).  That is up from last week. This past week there were 10…

New-Crop US Corn Export Sales Lowest in 17 Years. Mexico Accounts for Nearly Half of All Sales.

Summary:  This week, new-crop US corn export sales rose 302,000 MT (and increased 119,000 MT for old-crop).  New-crop sales were towards the  low end of the range of industry expectations. New-crop export sales (plus estimated “roll-over” sales from old-crop) are the lowest in seventeen years. However, sales to Mexico account for nearly half of total…

Ethanol Production and Stocks Fall. Futures-Based Producer Margins Improve.

Summary: US ethanol production dropped 2.2% this week.  Ethanol stocks also dropped 2.2%. Blender demand declined slightly.  Ethanol producers’ margins on Aug 20 were 18.00 cents/gln, up sharply from the previous week’s 7.52 cents.  Blender margins were 3.79 cents, up from the previous week’s 3.29 cents/gln.  The spread between Brazilian and US ethanol prices was…

China’s Soybean Crush Margins Remain Above Break-even But Little Changed From a Week Ago.

Summary: China’s “spot” soybean crushing margin today was 85 Yuan/MT, unchanged from a week ago.  The “forward” margin was 50 Yuan/MT, also unchanged from a week ago.  However, the forward margin was 153 Yuan above what it was a year ago.  In the August WASDE, the USDA lowered its projections for China’s old-and-new crop imports by 2…