Analysts Usually Over-Estimate US Winter Wheat Seedings; But Rarely Does This Error Impact Wheat Prices

Bottom Line:  Today we’ll find out if USDA will be able to release its scheduled Winter Wheat Seedings report on January 11.  Whenever the USDA finally does release its report it will likely be below the trade’s expectations.  Eighty-nine percent of the time the industry’s average estimate for USDA’s January Winter Wheat Seedings Report has been too…

China’s “Spot” Soybean Crush Margin Drops Below Break-Even.

Summary: China’s “spot” soybean crushing margin today was –29 Yuan/MT, down from last week’s 4.   The “forward” margin was 13 Yuan/MT vs last week’s  -9 Yuan/MT.  In addition, the forward margin was 36 Yuan above what it was a year ago.  Four months ago, the forward margin fell to its lowest  level in 4 years.    In the USDA’s December WASDE, China’s import projection was left unchanged at 90 MMT.   However,…