US Soybean Export Ship Lineup Falls to 8-Week Low.

Summary:  Next week ’s soybean export inspections are expected to be 1,055,000 MT (38.8 Mil Bu).   If this is correct, that would be down 19% from the previous week’s.  This week’s ship lineup is 0.921 MMT.  That is down 37% from last week.  Also this week’s lineup is 70% smaller than a year ago.  There were 19 vessels to-be-nominated (TBN).  That is more than a week ago and more…

US Ethanol Producers’ Margins Are Deep in the Red as Some Plants are Shuttered or Idled.

Summary: US ethanol production dropped slightly this past week.  It is estimated that blender demand rose about 1%.  Ethanol stocks last week rose about 1.6%, more than what some analysts had expected.  Ethanol producer margins have fallen more deeply into the red.  Blender margins are declining too but are still profitable. There were reports that several…

China’s “Spot” Soybean Crush Margins Declines Further But Are Still Profitable.

Summary: China’s “spot” soybean crushing margin yesterday was 129 Yuan/MT, down from the 4-year high of 436 set a month ago.  The “forward” margin was -7 Yuan/MT vs last week’s  -36 Yuan/MT.  The forward margin was 132 Yuan above what it was a year ago.  Three months ago, the forward margin fell to its lowest  level in 4 years.    In the USDA’s November WASDE, the projection for 2018/19 was lowered…