USDA Boosts Brazil’s Old-Crop Soy Exports by 1.3 MMT, But Lowered New-Crop Projection by 1.7 MMT.

Summary:  In the Jan WASDE, USDA raised its projection for Brazil’s local marketing year old-crop (Feb’19-Jan’20) soybean exports by 1.3 MMT to 74.1 MMT.   Brazil’s official SESEX’s Feb-Dec cumulative exports are 71.609 MMT.  That is above the estimate of exports based on figures provided by cargo shipping services.  USDA lowered its projection for Brazil’s…

Soybean Export Inspections Likely Unchanged Next Week. Talk China SOE’s May Be Preparing to Make US Purchases.

Summary:  Next week ’s soybean export inspections are expected to be 965,000 MT (35.5 Mil Bu).   If this is correct, that would be up fractionally from the previous week.  This week’s ship lineup is 1.505 MMT.  That is up 2.5% from last week.  There were 23 vessels to-be-nominated (TBN).  That is down from last week. This past week there were…

Analysts Usually Over-Estimate US Winter Wheat Seedings; But Rarely Does This Error Impact Wheat Prices

Summary:  Tomorrow, we’ll find out if US Winter Wheat Seedings fell to a new low in over a century.  Whatever figure the USDA does report it will likely be below the trade’s expectations.  Eighty-nine percent of the time the industry’s average estimate for USDA’s January Winter Wheat Seedings Report has been too high.  While this is a…

Corn Stocks Has Greatest Potential to Roil The Crop Markets on Friday.

Summary:  Tomorrow, the USDA will release its Winter Wheat Seedings, Annual Crop Production, and December Grain Stocks Reports, as well as the January WASDE.  Of all these, the corn stocks report has the greatest potential to trigger a sharp price reaction.  Stocks could deviate from expectations because of unexpected changes in USDA’s Annual Crop estimate or…