Climate Impact Week 2-4 Outlook: Europe
Mostly dry and warmer than normal across Central Europe while southern areas are susceptible to rain.
Mostly dry and warmer than normal across Central Europe while southern areas are susceptible to rain.
The equatorial subsurface Pacific is very warm BUT that warmth is not reaching the surface as neutral ENSO continues.
The Black Sea Region dryness is strengthening but the amplified hot ridge expected in July is slow to evolve. The mega-cluster (all models) forecast probability of where the upper ridge is located in 15 days favors Europe.
Increasing tropical influence on the U.S. pattern keeps the Central U.S. warm with hit and miss thundershowers after mid-June. The EU ridge pattern shifts to Western Russia days 6-10 but is unlikely to last. Australian drought continues.
Hit and miss thunderstorms across the Great Plains but dryness is expected in the longer range. The Western Russia trough departs next week but does it stay away?
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