Quarter 2 of 2021 Global Soil Moisture Outlook

Highlight: Emerging drought risk quarter 2 of 2021: Central and southern Great Plains/Central Europe. Fig. 1: The global NOAA/CPC global soil moisture anomaly analysis for February 2021 and annotated 3-month soil moisture change. February 2021 global soil moisture 3-month trend discussion: Most-striking is the difference between the Americas as a potential severe drought risk in…

La Nina Is Fading

Highlight: As ENSO shifts toward neutral phase, the mid-latitude SSTA patterns gain relevance on influence to the 2021 climate. Executive summary: La Nina 2020-21 was moderate-strength. In recent weeks, a choppy character to the intensity of La Nina has developed. The choppiness most likely represents weakening of La Nina. Forecast models and analogs indicate neutral…

Early AG Market Weather/Climate Wire: Major Great Plains Storm…Increased Impacts on Southern Great Plains Wheat.

Fig. 1-2: Comparing the GFS and ECM precipitation amount forecasts for the March 10-15 storm. The Great Plains early spring storm: The super warm short-term regime across the Great Plains will steadily ease as a cold front moves south and stalls in the central/south Great Plains and northeastward through late week/weekend focusing heavy rain, severe…