One more rainfall event before dryness returns: ECM continues to forecast considerably less rainfall than GFS for the third (of 3) rainfall episodes for the northern Great Plains this week (Fig. 1-2). While radar estimates of rainfall have shown the buoyant GFS to score considerably higher verification scores this week, actual observations by official NWS…
May 2021 U.S. temperature rank: 65 of 127 where 1 is coldest and 127 is hottest. May 2021 U.S. precipitation rank: 66 of 127 where 1 is driest and 127 is wettest. Fig. 1: Statewide average temperature ranks for May 2021. Fig. 2: Statewide average precipitation ranks for May 2021. Discussion: U.S. rankings for temperature…
Chart of the day: Current NOAA/NWS weather watch warnings. Discussion: NOAA/NWS weather watch, warning and advisory areas for the U.S. this morning. Excessive heat watch is in effect for Arizona while the Great Basin is beneath a Red Flag Warning. Heat Advisories are posted for Texas. Severe flooding for 10+ in. rainfall amounts continues in…
Western drought expands to the Midwest States. New York/New England drought risk. Midwest drought should ease late summer. Eastern heat comes on strong later this summer. Executive Summary: The Climate Impact Company month 1-3 ahead forecast valid for JUL/AUG/SEP 2021 is updated. There are several high impact climate forecast results. July heat and widening drought…
Highlight: Australia May 2021 Soil Moisture  Fig. 1: Australia Bureau of Meteorology analysis of May 2021 soil moisture anomalies. Fig. 2: The NOAA/CPC daily soil moisture deficits Discussion: After the La Nina-inspired wet weather of summer 2020-21 the Australian climate has turned drier recently as La Nina has dissipated. Soil moisture analysis reveals the…
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