Highlight: Transitional pattern leads to a warmer/drier Western Russia in the extended-range (while Europe turns showery and cooler again). Charts of the day: Wetter forecast for Ukraine/Southwest Russia. Discussion: Another cool upper trough shifts into Northern Europe this week and forcing a wetter forecast for the Black Sea region to Southwest Russia. The warmth in…
Highlight: A wetter climate later winter/early spring as La Nina develops but for now dryness dominates. Charts of the day: A dry climate dominates this week. Discussion: Brazil and Argentina is very dry this week. East Brazil is cool but the remainder of Brazil and especially Argentina is quite warm. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid July…
Highlight: Tropical cyclones/heavy rain into East China. Northeast China dryness and heat (soybeans). Charts of the day: Two China tropical cyclones; drought to the north. Discussion: Two tropical systems are offshore China, one affecting the coast now (Cempaka) and another later this week as a typhoon (In-Fa). North of the tropical cyclone activity, a high-pressure…
Highlight: Central to Mid-Atlantic heat. Chart of the day: Rainfall needed to eliminate drought. Discussion: Rainfall amount needed to neutralize dry Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) remains prohibitive in the West and North-central U.S. extending to parts of the Midwest States. Areas of dryness are also persistent (and stronger) across the Interior Mid-Atlantic States. The…
The GFS is much hotter than ECM in the Central U.S. medium-range forecast.
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