Incoming Heavy Rains for The Upper Midwest
Heavy rains ahead for Minnesota and Wisconsin.
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: A couple of weeks of beneficial rains ahead for Brazil.
Highlight: A couple of weeks of beneficial rains ahead for Brazil. Charts of the day: The 5-day outlook. Discussion: A cold front moves north across Argentina delivering a cool air mass but not as cool as previously indicated. On the leading edge of the front heavy rain is projected for far southeastern Brazil. Week-2 Ahead…
Europe/Western Russia Week 2-4 Outlook: Europe cool to temperate; hot weather in Russia lingers.
Charts of the day: The 5-day outlook. Discussion: A cool trough rolls into Europe causing a cooler/wetter pattern change this week. To the east, Russia stays hot and very dry. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid August 29-September 4, 2021: Cooler pattern for Europe. Stays hot in Russia. Discussion: The cooler forecast for Europe is broader from…
U.S. Medium-range Forecast: Cool North, hot Mid-South to East and California. Wet pattern Great Plains.
Charts of the day: -AO cools-off Canada. Discussion: Negative arctic oscillation is in-place and expected to strengthen next week. At this time of year, a moderate-to-strong -AO regime typically causes a cooler regime across Canada which extends to parts of the northern U.S. Medium-range 6-10 Day Forecast Valid August 29-September 2, 2021 Medium-range 11-15 Day…
Weekly ENSO Diagnostic Report: Nino34 SSTA zooms past the La Nina threshold last week.
Discussion: Last week the Nino34 SSTA region (where ENSO phase is monitored) dipped to -0.9C which is well within the La Nina threshold (Fig. 1). The Nino3 region also turned cooler dipping beneath the La Nina threshold. Near the Dateline and off the northwest coast of South America SSTA is neutral. In the subsurface, the…
