Charts of the day: Current soil moisture and trend and the CFS V2/ECMWF August 2021 upper air forecast. Do they agree? Discussion: U.S. soil moisture anomalies identifies profound drought across the West and North portion of the country. Strongest dry anomalies are in California and Upper Midwest. The seasonal soil moisture change is driest across…
Highlight: Looking for the hot West pattern to shift to the Central U.S. Charts of the day: The 7-day temperature/precipitation anomaly forecast. Discussion: An upper trough sustains a wet pattern in Texas. The upper trough provides enough wind shear to push Elsa east of Florida. New England is wet and cool. The West/Northwest U.S. into…
July: Power markets California and PJM surge! ERCOT adjusted hotter. Western Corn Belt drought worsens. August: Significant TC into Texas/Louisiana. Western heat/dryness continues…Historic fire season underway. Hot/humid East Coast. September: Widespread late summer heat. Low confidence wet Northwest/dry Southeast forecasts. Executive Summary: The Climate Impact Company month 1-3 ahead forecast valid for JUL/AUG/SEP 2021 is…
Highlight: Trending wetter Central Australia. Charts of the day: Short-term forecast. Discussion: Strong positive southern annular mode (+SAM) produces two deep trough patterns southwest and southeast of Australia the next week or so. In-between the two trough(s) a warm ridge pattern sets-up over central Australia. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid July 4-10, 2021: Warmer (North) revision.…
Chart of the day: Latest NOAA warnings. Discussion: The NOAA/NWS weather watch, warning and advisory areas. The Northwest heatwave continues and is budging eastward. The Heat Advisory in the Northeast Corridor also continues but eases into late week as heavy rains/severe weather suppress heat. Flash Flood Watch areas continue from New Mexico to the Missouri…
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