Highlight: -AO/-WPO/-EPO/-NAO climate signals indicated ahead…Favors deceleration of heat and a wetter pattern into September. Chart of the day: The 7-day outlook.  Discussion: A cool upper trough shifts toward mid-continent. The result is cooler weather for the northern U.S. Rockies and the Canadian Prairies. Very warm to hot and humid weather is east of…
Highlight: East to stay very warm and humid. Charts of the day: Wet summer/warm SSTA = High humidity! Discussion: Relentless high humidity is affecting many parts of the U.S. this summer season. A recipe for persistent high humidity in the East is a wet summer coupled with the influence on climate by unusually very warm…
Highlight: Heavy rains for Poland and vicinity ahead! Russia is dry/hot. Fig. 1-2: Europe 15-day temperature anomaly and rainfall amount outlook according to GFS. Fig. 3-4: GFS ENS 15-day temperature anomaly and percent of normal rainfall forecast by GFS ENS for Europe and Russia. Discussion: Sharp positive phase of the Scandinavia Index is forecast much…
Fig. 1-2: The ECM ENS 15-day upper air forecast and attendant precipitation and temperature anomalies. Canadian Prairies/North-central U.S. discussion: Rainfall required to neutralize dry Palmer Drought Severity index (PDSI) is in the 8-16 in. range across the southern Canadian Prairies to the North-central and Upper Midwest U.S. The rainfall deficits equate to long-term harsh D3/D4…
Highlight: A wet forecast for spring and summer in Brazil. Argentina drought develops/intensifies. Executive Summary: The Climate Impact Company season 1-3 ahead forecast for South America valid through autumn 2022 is updated. Unique circumstances are in-place and are likely to strengthen during spring and summer leading to a sharply contrasting climate pattern: Wet in Brazil…
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