Texas and Mid-Atlantic Coast Tropical Threats Emerging Discussion: Several new issues have emerged in the tropics – all of which could impact the U.S. The first is Tropical Disturbance 94L. This system will enter the Bay of Campeche as a low-pressure system today. Over the warm waters of this region, 94L should have no problem…
Highlight: Tropical storm likely for south Texas coast arriving Monday night. Fig. 1-2: Two opinions (GFS-left, ECM-right) on a heavy rainfall forecast developing for the next week or so in the western Gulf of Mexico. Discussion: Hurricane Larry is located 650 miles southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland moving north-northeastward at 26 miles with top wind…
Chart of the day: Primary TC tracks the next 10 days. Discussion: A tropical cyclone is forecast to emerge in the southwest Gulf of Mexico and head for the southern Texas coast early next week. A second system will move off the West Africa Coast, develop and move northwest. There is also potential for a…
Highlight: U.S. Temperature and Precipitation Ranks for August and Meteorological Summer (JUN/JUL/AUG). Summer was hottest on record! Discussion: The U.S. temperature rankings for 1895-2021 indicate summer 2021 was the warmest on record given the 127-year climatology. The record heat included state records for much of the West U.S. (Fig. 1). Twenty-five states ranked in the…
Charts of the day: SSTA patterns off each coast influence climate. Discussion: Since 2013, the “warm blob” has persistent in the northeast Pacific Ocean. Currently, the “warm blob” is displaced offshore and the attendant upper-level high-pressure ridge has a tendency to (also) be offshore. This high-pressure ridge position enables an upper trough to locate on…
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