Charts of the day: March 2021 climate so far. Discussion: March 2021 so far has featured a warm pattern across central North America, common during winter 2020-21 (except in February). In March, California has been the cool spot. The precipitation pattern has featured heavy amount centered on Kansas while dryness has dominated the Northeast Corridor…
Highlight: Showery trend East Brazil, Argentina is a little drier. Charts of the day: March 2021 climate so far. Discussion: The late warm season climate across South America is warmer than normal across Eastern Brazil while Northeast Argentina has been temperate and Central Argentina very warm. The precipitation pattern has featured dryness across northeastern Brazil…
A period of dryness ahead for the Great Plains while medium-range forecasts are wetter East Brazil.
Charts of the day: 30-day temperature verification. Discussion: The 30-day temperature bias by the GFS ENS (left) and the ECM ENS (right) for 15-day forecasts indicates outlooks have been too cool. The ECM ENS cool bias has been strongest. Medium-range 6-10 Day Forecast Valid March 30-April 3, 2021 Medium-range 11-15 Day Forecast Valid April 4-8,…
Extreme weather event today/early Friday Southeast U.S. to Ohio Valley! Fig. 1-2: Up to 7 in. of rain in Alabama today with tornadoes peaking at 5PM. Fig. 3-4: Wind gusts >60 mph tomorrow morning across the Ohio Valley! Mid-south/Northeast storm discussion: A powerful late March storm moves northeastward from the Mid-south States today to north…
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