Chart of the day: 4-Week U.S. Gas Population Weight HDD Anomaly Trend & Forecast Discussion: Nationally, the weeks of February flirt with the 30-year normal after a mostly very warm December/January. Coldest regions are New England for the current week, the Pacific the next two weeks and ERCOT through mid-February. The North-central U.S. (not pictured)…
Highlight: Wet weather continues Southeast Australia crop areas. Heavy rain is possible northeastern Australia in February. Executive Summary: Climate Impact Company updates the Australia month 1-3 outlook valid for February to April 2021. The outlook is driven in-part by a weakening La Nina. However, warm SSTA “blobs” east and southwest of the continent are the…
Charts of the day: GFS dramatics! Discussion: The last two models runs of the GFS for days 11-15 indicate a cross-polar (from Siberia) arctic outbreak for the U.S. Medium-range 6-10 Day Forecast Valid February 2-6, 2021 Medium-range 11-15 Day Forecast Valid February 7-11, 2021 Discussion: All eyes are on the 11-15 day forecast due to…
Highlight: Following the CFS V2 (best model) through February. Brazil dryness and heat. On-and-off Argentina rains. Charts of the day: Early February pattern across South America. Discussion: Brazil dryness and attendant anomalous heat will strengthen Brazil drought most prominent in east/northeast Brazil now. Drought conditions are likely to expand. The wet zone remains northern Argentina,…
Highlight: CFS V2 model is best projecting weekly climate across Europe. Why? Warm SSTA northwest North Atlantic/cool SSTA west of Europe fuels persistent Western Europe trough. Charts of the day: This week across Europe. Discussion: A persistent trough along the western shores of Europe maintains an intense storm track bringing heavy precipitation to France. Farther…
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