Highlight: Evolution of a warm pattern. Chart of the day: Updated gas population weight HDD forecast. Discussion: The latest Climate Impact Company U.S. population weight 4-week HDD anomaly forecast continues to indicate a warming trend. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid March 1-7, 2021: Not as chilly West; mild across the North. Discussion: Wet weather in the…
Executive Summary: The Climate Impact Company season 1-3 ahead forecast for Australia valid for 2021 is updated. The outlook is based largely on a weak but persistent La Nina into mid-year followed by re-intensifying La Nina after mid-year. Forecast highlights include a cool autumn with more wet weather north and northeast coastal areas. The winter…
Executive Summary: The Climate Impact Company season 1-3 ahead forecast for South America valid through spring 2021 is based on influence of weak-to-moderate La Nina presence. During meteorological autumn wet weather greets southwest and southeast Brazil. This area needs the rain to prevent a late summer flash drought. Argentina looks mostly dry into midyear. PRELIMINARY…
Highlight: For now, fending-off flash drought. Charts of the day: Is the GFS (hot) forecast too warm? Discussion: The GFS indicates anomalous heat across Argentina to southwest Brazil in the 7-day forecast. All forecast models indicate high pressure aloft to support the anomalous heat. However, only the GFS has the hot temperature forecast. Interestingly, the…
Charts of the day: Murray-Darling Basin Water Storage Discussion: The northern Murray-Darling Basin water storage remains low due to lack of rainfall the past several years and the current wet season’s rainfall missing this region. The southern Murray-Darling Basin has somewhat higher water amount although still below normal but higher than last year. Week-2 Ahead…
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