Category Archives: Climate Impact

U.S. Medium-range Forecast: Robust warmth Northeast days 6-10.

Highlight: Robust warmth Northeast days 6-10. Chart of the day: U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast. Discussion: The U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast continues to trend warm inspired by warm Northeast U.S. forecasts ahead. Medium-range 6-10 Day Forecast Valid March 22-26, 2021 Medium-range 11-15 Day Forecast Valid March 27-31, 2021 Discussion: The outlook trends…

Australia Week 2-4 Outlook: Lingering La Nina climate maintains a wet pattern.

Chart of the day: Australia Bureau of Meteorology Ending La Nina. But! Subsurface is still cool. Discussion: Australia Bureau of Meteorology indicates La Nina is ending. At the surface, there’s plenty of evidence to support that statement as Nino34 SSTA is now neutral and a steady negative southern oscillation index (-SOI) has developed. However, a…

Europe/Western Russia Week 2-4 Outlook: Progressive pattern as Europe chill shifts eastward.

Charts of the day: Short-term weather. Discussion: A robust upper trough brings cool-to-cold weather across Europe this week and induces heavy rain with some snow across Southeast Europe with hefty snows in the South-central Europe Mountains. Western Russia is temperate and mostly drier than normal. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid March 22-28, 2020: Chilly weather shifts…

U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: Wet Weather/Severe Events Central U.S. Ahead

Highlight: Central U.S. rains, drier/warmer West. Chart of the day: Late season gas population weight HDD. Discussion: After the torrid cold spike of mid-February the U.S. heating demand has settled to near normal to close meteorological winter and is steadily below normal national demand heading into April. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid March 22-28, 2021: Soaking…

Tornado Outbreak on Wednesday Arkansas to Alabama!

Fig. 1: The NOAA/NWS weather watch, warning and advisory areas. Discussion: This morning dense fog has spread across the weekend soaking rain zone from Kansas to Illinois (Fig. 1). Ongoing river flooding in this wet zone is occurring in west/southwest Missouri and could potentially develop along the Kansas/Nebraska state line. Yesterday’s California winter storm has…