Executive Summary: The Climate Impact Company season 1-3 ahead forecast for Europe and Western Russia valid through meteorological spring 2022 is updated. The outlook indicates a warmer than normal autumn but with periods of wet weather over parts of Europe. The Western Russia dry climate and attendant drought continue. During winter 2021-22 a semi-permanent upper…
Highlight: Warm pattern decelerates, tries to trend wetter. Chart of the day: NOAA Australia soil moisture anomalies. Discussion: NOAA/CPC indicates drying soils for a substantial portion of Australia not agreed to by Australia Bureau of Meteorology. Wet zones are in the southeast and southwest portion of the continent. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid August 29-September 4,…
Highlight: Slowly, heat shifts into the Southeast and regenerates on West Coast. Wet pattern indicated for much of U.S. Chart of the day: Looking wet in September South & East. Discussion: NCEP CFS V2 model indicates a wet regime ahead for September to include Texas (and vicinity) plus the Great Plains to the Atlantic Seaboard.…
Highlight: Wet weather ahead for Canadian Prairies/Upper Midwest U.S. Fig. 1-2: ECM days 1-5/days 6-10 rainfall forecast for the U.S. AG Belt. U.S. AG Belt discussion: Two heavy rainfall episodes are forecast over the next 5 days across the Upper Midwest (Fig. 1). The first is tomorrow when 1-3 in. of rain is possible centered…
Highlight: Rainfall forecast change in South America. Discussion: The GFS indicates heavy rainfall ahead in the 15-day outlook but mostly in Southeast Brazil and now adding parts of Northeast Argentina (Fig. 1). Meanwhile, the central and east-central portion of Brazil where drought is intense remains dry and may see no rain at all in the…
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