Highlight: Excessive rainfall in Germany. Rhine River rise. Fig. 1: Weather satellite view provided by The Weather Channel reveals a storm system just-departed Germany where heavy rains causing fatalities occurred. Discussion: According to Reuters News, at least 19 people have died in Germany and many are missing as record rainfall caused rivers to burst their…
Executive Summary: The Climate Impact Company season 1-3 ahead forecast for South America valid through autumn 2022 is updated. Of primary interest is whether the 2021 Brazil drought will continue or ease. The climate pattern anticipates the return of La Nina during the last quarter of 2021. The La Nina cool SSTA signature in the…
Executive Summary: The Climate Impact Company month 1-3 ahead forecast for South America valid for August through October 2021 is updated. The forecast is based on a climate trend toward an evolving La Nina episode. A La Nina Modoki (when eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean SSTA is biased toward the Dateline) is possible. Additionally, a weighty…
ALERT: Minneapolis 114F July 24th. Fig. 1: The midday 12Z GFS projects 117F on the Minnesota/North Dakota state line on Saturday July 24. 110-112F is common in North/South Dakota. Minneapolis surges to 114F! Fig. 2-3: The midday 12Z GFS trended slightly warmer in the western Great Plains and cooler in Ontario during the 6-10-day period.…
Charts of the day: GFS ENS medium-range forecast risk of >100F. Discussion: >100F risk is spread across central North America in the 6-10-day period and may expand days 11-15 in that region. >100F risk persists in California and appears in the Mid-Atlantic States days 11-15. Medium-range 6-10 Day Forecast Valid July 19-23, 2021 Medium-range 11-15…
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