Charts of the day: Soil moisture regime across Europe/Western Russia and the 7-day percent of normal rainfall forecast. Discussion: Late spring rains leave the Black Sea region soil conditions wetter than normal. Patchy dry spots are present in Central Europe. The precipitation outlook for the week ahead is wet across Central Europe and trending drier…
Highlight: Brazil drought worsens. Charts of the day: Day 1-7 forecast. Discussion: Soil moisture conditions across Brazil remain exceptionally dry. Soil moisture conditions improve to the south with marginal wet in central Argentina. The GFS ENS 7-day outlook is very dry except some wet weather across Uruguay. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid June 27-July 3, 2021:…
Highlight: Northward shifting heat. Chart of the day: NOAA probabilistic July drought forecast with CIC annotations. Discussion: Mid-summer West and North U.S. drought persists with close-calls for the Midwest U.S. while summertime thunderstorms bring soil moisture increase to the mid-south States eastward to the East Coast. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid June 27-July 3, 2021: Northwest…
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid June 27-July 3, 2021: Western heat and eastern rains. Discussion: An upper ridge shifts into the Northwest U.S. promoting excessive heat. The entire West and into the Great Plains is dry. An upper trough maintains a wet pattern in the East although New England is warmer than normal. Week-3 Ahead Forecast…
Fig. 1-2: Current drought conditions across U.S. spring wheat and U.S. Corn Belt. Drought classification discussion: NOAA updated the U.S. Drought Monitor yesterday which indicates continued and worsening drought conditions across the U.S. spring wheat crop area and west/north U.S. Corn Belt (Fig. 1-2). Despite some recent rainfall, North Dakota maintains D3/D4 drought. It’s important…
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